What Biden quitting means for Harris, the Democrats and Trump

 

Joe Biden turned the American election on its head. After insisting for a few weeks that he would be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee, he changed his mind and dropped out of the race. Here's what this means for Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democrats and Donald Trump.

Harris is a risk but one many Democrats will want to take

With Joe Biden's endorsement, Kamala Harris' prospects for the Democratic nomination got a big boost. 

 He gave him full support and called his decision as vice president four years ago the best. 

 The woman replied that it was an honor to support him and that she would do everything to get the nomination. 

 Many Democrats may follow the lead of the president and avoid the vice president to avoid uncertainty during the month of the Democratic convention. 

 There are practical and political reasons for this. 

 It is in line with the constitution. The idea of putting the first black woman on the presidential ticket would be terrifying for the party. It will also receive nearly $100 million in direct marketing revenue. 

 But there is also danger. Polls show Harris' approval rating is about the same as his. A face-to-face meeting with Donald Trump is like Biden. 

 The second is that Harris had a difficult time as vice president at times. Early in the administration, he was tasked with addressing the root causes of the immigration crisis at the US-Mexico border. 

 This is a serious challenge, and many steps and rhetoric have been exposed to criticism. He was also an advocate for abortion rights, which he did well. But the old feelings stuck. 

 Finally, but perhaps most importantly, Harris has already run for national office—the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020—and has stumbled miserably. 

 Despite his early rise, a combination of poor interviews, lack of a clearly defined vision and a well-controlled campaign led to his exit before the last election. 

 The Harris vote is a threat to the Democrats, but no vote is safe this time. The price - a possible victory for Donald Trump - is as high as they can get.

Democratic convention could be chaotic yet gripping

Over the past half century, political conventions have become boring. Since every minute was carefully recorded on television, it became several days of campaigning for the presidential candidate. 

 Last week's Republican convention was just that — even with Donald Trump's occasional welcome speech. 

 Next month's Democratic convention in Chicago will be very different. Every script the team and the Biden campaign were working on was thrown out the window. Even if the party does not agree with Harris, it will be difficult to plan - and control - how things will happen in the convention. 

 But if Harris doesn't unify the party, the convention could become a full-fledged political process, with various politicians running for the nomination in front of the cameras and behind the scenes. closed door. 

 It can make the record of politics transparent and unprecedented in a way that the American public has never seen before.

For Republicans, strong v frail goes out window

This year's Republican convention was a closely watched machine that promoted the party's most popular agendas and focused criticism on one man, President Joe Biden. Turns out the Republicans are looking for the wrong person. When news broke that Biden had dropped out of his re-election campaign, the Republican game plan led by Donald Trump went awry. Republicans spent a full week on carefully orchestrated events that focused on the Democrats' false weaknesses against them. The campaign of showed the strength and power of the candidate by giving them an exciting entrance of the former wrestler and Ultimate Fighting Championship impresario Hulk Hogan and Dana White and Kid Rock's performance.

Hulk Hogan at the Republican convention

There are clear attempts to counter Mr Biden's vulnerability - and plans to alienate male voters. But in any case, now the Democratic nominee will be less than the president. Hard plan vs. The weakness against Vice President Kamala Harris or any Democratic incumbent who is expected to succeed Biden doesn't pack the same punch. If Harris is the nominee, expect that the Republicans will try to show him the perceived failure of the current administration. It has been called "border damage" for months. Although the former lawyer was not part of the progressive wing of the party at all, previous Republican attacks against him indicate that he was also painted as a "radical ". Regardless of who is elected, Republicans will accuse Democrats of covering up the weaknesses associated with the Biden years - and putting the country at risk. At this time, everyone is flying blind, the first presidential vote is only a few months away